Rising pressure to our East and North this week should halt the zonal
train that has been running since July 10/11th. The train will stall,
but, but it looks like it may have enough final momentum to push the
threatened very warm and humid weather away from our shores, in the
main and confine the more extreme effects of this plume to the near
continent. I've been saying for several days that this plume could
topple and it still could. The difficulties of forecasting that are
still horrendous, even at 36 hours! Thunderstorms could still occur
along the cold front, as it crosses the UK, but exactly where is
anyone's guess at this distance.

After that: in my opinion, it is pretty miserable and there's enough
confidence there for a 10-day forecast from me.

On June 9th, at T240, the UK will be under the influence of slow-
moving low pressures. Rainfall amounts in the CET area will be above
average for July, by that stage and there may have been some prolonged
rainfall events in the lead-up to the 9th.

The zonal train to be replaced by last summer part 2?? Mercy, mercy
me!

Paul

cue stalker.....

I hope your forecast are more accurate than your dates Dawlish......


RonB


"Dawlish"  wrote in message 
news:cfb68ab6-2192-43ee-ab8c-16d4dc37b88e@27g2000hsf.googlegroups.com...
> Rising pressure to our East and North this week should halt the zonal
> train that has been running since July 10/11th. The train will stall,
> but, but it looks like it may have enough final momentum to push the
> threatened very warm and humid weather away from our shores, in the
> main and confine the more extreme effects of this plume to the near
> continent. I've been saying for several days that this plume could
> topple and it still could. The difficulties of forecasting that are
> still horrendous, even at 36 hours! Thunderstorms could still occur
> along the cold front, as it crosses the UK, but exactly where is
> anyone's guess at this distance.
>
> After that: in my opinion, it is pretty miserable and there's enough
> confidence there for a 10-day forecast from me.
>
> On June 9th, at T240, the UK will be under the influence of slow-
> moving low pressures. Rainfall amounts in the CET area will be above
> average for July, by that stage and there may have been some prolonged
> rainfall events in the lead-up to the 9th.
>
> The zonal train to be replaced by last summer part 2?? Mercy, mercy
> me!
>
> Paul
>
> cue stalker.....

On Mon, 30 Jun 2008 at 00:02:18, Dawlish  wrote in 
uk.sci.weather :

>Rising pressure to our East and North this week should halt the zonal
>train that has been running since July 10/11th. The train will stall,
>but, but it looks like it may have enough final momentum to push the
>threatened very warm and humid weather away from our shores, in the
>main and confine the more extreme effects of this plume to the near
>continent. I've been saying for several days that this plume could
>topple and it still could. The difficulties of forecasting that are
>still horrendous, even at 36 hours! Thunderstorms could still occur
>along the cold front, as it crosses the UK, but exactly where is
>anyone's guess at this distance.
>
>After that: in my opinion, it is pretty miserable and there's enough
>confidence there for a 10-day forecast from me.
>
>On June 9th, at T240, the UK will be under the influence of slow-
>moving low pressures. Rainfall amounts in the CET area will be above
>average for July, by that stage and there may have been some prolonged
>rainfall events in the lead-up to the 9th.
>
>The zonal train to be replaced by last summer part 2?? Mercy, mercy
>me!
>
>Paul
>
>cue stalker.....

Keep predicting cool weather (especially correctly) and you won't hear 
any complaints from me. :)
-- 
Paul Hyett, Cheltenham (change 'invalid83261' to 'blueyonder' to email me)

On Jun 30, 9:18 am, "ronaldbutton"  wrote:
> I hope your forecast are more accurate than your dates Dawlish......
>
> RonB
>
> "Dawlish"  wrote in message
>
> news:cfb68ab6-2192-43ee-ab8c-16d4dc37b88e@27g2000hsf.googlegroups.com...
>
>
>
> > Rising pressure to our East and North this week should halt the zonal
> > train that has been running since July 10/11th. The train will stall,
> > but, but it looks like it may have enough final momentum to push the
> > threatened very warm and humid weather away from our shores, in the
> > main and confine the more extreme effects of this plume to the near
> > continent. I've been saying for several days that this plume could
> > topple and it still could. The difficulties of forecasting that are
> > still horrendous, even at 36 hours! Thunderstorms could still occur
> > along the cold front, as it crosses the UK, but exactly where is
> > anyone's guess at this distance.
>
> > After that: in my opinion, it is pretty miserable and there's enough
> > confidence there for a 10-day forecast from me.
>
> > On June 9th, at T240, the UK will be under the influence of slow-
> > moving low pressures. Rainfall amounts in the CET area will be above
> > average for July, by that stage and there may have been some prolonged
> > rainfall events in the lead-up to the 9th.
>
> > The zonal train to be replaced by last summer part 2?? Mercy, mercy
> > me!
>
> > Paul
>
> > cue stalker.....- Hide quoted text -
>
> - Show quoted text -

Oh yes, apologies! I'm obviously mired in June! (though weirdly, I've
just written July 1st on a document! Thanks for pointing it out Ron.
Try "July 9th"!

Paul

No need to apologise Paul,I find your stuff fascinating and very well 
thought out ,we need a few more like you to stimulate this bunch of 
wingers,OTT ers,and old farts like me .
More power to your elbow,and keep up with the calender changes !

Regards

RonB
"Dawlish"  wrote in message 
news:251b6518-662f-4d10-ad33-301a2637adf1@m44g2000hsc.googlegroups.com...
On Jun 30, 9:18 am, "ronaldbutton"  wrote:
> I hope your forecast are more accurate than your dates Dawlish......
>
> RonB
>
> "Dawlish"  wrote in message
>
> news:cfb68ab6-2192-43ee-ab8c-16d4dc37b88e@27g2000hsf.googlegroups.com...
>
>
>
> > Rising pressure to our East and North this week should halt the zonal
> > train that has been running since July 10/11th. The train will stall,
> > but, but it looks like it may have enough final momentum to push the
> > threatened very warm and humid weather away from our shores, in the
> > main and confine the more extreme effects of this plume to the near
> > continent. I've been saying for several days that this plume could
> > topple and it still could. The difficulties of forecasting that are
> > still horrendous, even at 36 hours! Thunderstorms could still occur
> > along the cold front, as it crosses the UK, but exactly where is
> > anyone's guess at this distance.
>
> > After that: in my opinion, it is pretty miserable and there's enough
> > confidence there for a 10-day forecast from me.
>
> > On June 9th, at T240, the UK will be under the influence of slow-
> > moving low pressures. Rainfall amounts in the CET area will be above
> > average for July, by that stage and there may have been some prolonged
> > rainfall events in the lead-up to the 9th.
>
> > The zonal train to be replaced by last summer part 2?? Mercy, mercy
> > me!
>
> > Paul
>
> > cue stalker.....- Hide quoted text -
>
> - Show quoted text -

Oh yes, apologies! I'm obviously mired in June! (though weirdly, I've
just written July 1st on a document! Thanks for pointing it out Ron.
Try "July 9th"!

Paul

On Mon, 30 Jun 2008 12:07:03 +0100, "ronaldbutton"
 wrote:

>No need to apologise Paul,I find your stuff fascinating 

Always a good read - with the occasional rant from Zephyr

R