----- Original Message ----- 
From: "Dave McAuley" 
Newsgroups: uk.sport.horseracing
Sent: Friday, February 08, 2008 12:06 PM
Subject: Totesport Gold Trophy


>A few key races for this are the Pierse Hurdle and the Paddy Power 
> Handicap Hurdle at Sandown in December. 3 candidates from those two 
> races include -:
> 
> Wingman (3rd at Sandown)
> Roman Villa (4th in Pierse)
> Jayo (5th in Pierse)
> 
> Apart from last year when there was a shock, the previous 9 winners were 
> rated in the 130/140 range, the average being 138 so I would kind of be 
> willing to consider marking those down from Blue Bajan and below.
> 
> Apart from last year all winners had finished 1st or 2nd last time out, 
> unless they had a top-6 finish in the Pierse so that helps to narrow 
> things down to 7 -:
> 
> Streets Of Gold
> Missis Potts
> Palomar
> Five Dream
> County Zen
> Roman Villa
> Jayo
> 
> Punjabi apart, the highest-rated in this race are on 140 which is lower 
> than usual for this race so it's not beyond the realms of possibility 
> that one lower down could score, so applying that rough rule I would 
> also include Blue Bajan, Dancer's Serenade and Mohayer who all finished 
> 1st/2nd last time.
> 
> This race tends to go to younger runners but apart from a few, that 
> doesn't help narrow the list down.
> 
> Those in the first 3 in the betting have won 6 from the last 10 so the 
> likes of Five Dream, Blue Bajan and Palomar stand out from those listed 
> above.
> 
> This is a tough race for novices, Make A Stand was the last one to do so 
> and he was Champion Hurdle class...is Five Dream that good ? I'm not so 
> sure and the price is short enough for the youngest runner in the race, 
> if not the last 10 years. If I had to choose I would go for PALOMAR as 
> the main choice, he was seriously impressive last time clocking a decent 
> speed figure in the process and fits all the relevant stats.
> 
> If I had to pick an outsider to make the frame it would probably be 
> County Zen at 14's who won a hot introductory hurdle beating the likes 
> of Blue Bajan and Song of Songs. He rallied gamely to win on heavy 
> ground last time and could go well but again is a novice who could find 
> it tough. The one I prefer though is Roman Villa who ran so well in the 
> Pierse Hurdle on softer than ideal going and who had earlier ran Jack 
> The Giant close at Cheltenham. He is around 12/1 mark so I'll go for him 
> as an e/w bet but also maybe have County Zen with a bookie paying down 
> to 5 places.
> 
> 
> 
> 
Punjabi gets my vote from my ratings

"Night Horse"  wrote in message 
news:Gg4rj.6039$j95.5488@newsfe3-win.ntli.net...
>
> ----- Original Message ----- 
> From: "Dave McAuley" 
> Newsgroups: uk.sport.horseracing
> Sent: Friday, February 08, 2008 12:06 PM
> Subject: Totesport Gold Trophy
>
>
As ever a most difficult race,although if you read the Mirror today,their 
Value Scope LOL feature reckons its a piece  piss.

WellI`m 3 agin the field but you could easily go 23 and still be wrong 
*GRIN*

PALOMAR mullered FRENCH OPERA lto at Kempton and thts good form and has the 
right attitude to his racing imho takena  while to get his act together.
MEPHISTO  took on the best on his return and should be ready to give of his 
best today,if he still has it, so its a leap of faith here.
MOHAYER down at the bottom wasn`t far behind the fav FIVE DREAMS lto and is 
fitted with Blinkers and a claimer lol if they work watch out ;-)


-- 
David

"That Damn Butterfly"