The following from Hamish Birchall http://www.livemusicforum.co.uk/

The Local Government Association will not review their live music policy, 
despite conceding that they had grossly over-estimated the number of venues 
already licensed for live music, according to a report in The Stage 
yesterday:
http://www.thestage.co.uk/news/newsstory.php/25258/lga-admits-live-music-licensing-figures-were

The 'miscalculation' first appeared in the public domain in an LGA article 
entitled 'Striking the right note', published on 18 July in a magazine for 
local authorities called 'first', and online.  In that piece LGA licensing 
spokesperson Chris White said: 'Around 80% of premises where alcohol is sold 
are already licensed to put on live music, and many do so with great 
success. But musicians have found that some premises have not got a live 
music licence yet.' The implication was that if there was any problem at 
all, it was relatively minor.

But the 80% was a huge over-estimate. Under pressure, the LGA published an 
apology, changed Chris White's quote and reduced the gig venue estimate to 
55%: http://www.lga.gov.uk/lga/core/page.do?pageId=2765113

It now seems, however, that even the 55% is a worthless statistic. The DCMS 
survey on which it is based did not distinguish between categories of venue, 
did not look at live music licence conditions (which must be implemented for 
gigs to be legal) nor did it measure actual live music provision: 
http://www.culture.gov.uk/images/research/AE-Statistics-bulletin-2008.pdf

We cannot know what proportion of the 55% are specialist music venues, let 
alone what proportion are pubs, bars or any other premises type.  This was 
confirmed in a recent government response to a question from Lord 
Clement-Jones (see below).

With unintended irony, the corrected LGA article still includes this comment 
from Musicians Union representative Horace Trubridge: 'There was a big 
furore and a lot of misinformation spread about the Licensing Act.'

Despite all this, an LGA spokesperson told The Stage:

'It [the 80% claim] changing makes absolutely no difference. We are still 
fundamentally involved in working with councils so they understand how 
incidental music works, to make sure there is good communication between 
authorities and licensed premises so they understand in what way live music 
can be staged. There was absolutely no deliberate attempt to deceive anyone. 
It hasn't been used in any public documents, it was used in one background 
briefing, which has turned out to be incorrect. It was no way a basis of the 
policy, nor has it been publicly used to justify it.'

In fact, this statement is itself misleading.  The 80% claim was made in 
articles in the public domain, and the miscalculation on which it was based 
headlined the LGA strategy to promote the £89 'minor variation' process. The 
'one background briefing' was entitled 'Licensed premises - LGA view'.

The 80% claim may not have been used explicitly to justify the LGA's 
opposition to new entertainment licensing exemptions for small venues, but 
Chris White's quote and comments on his Facebook pages strongly suggest that 
he believed the problems for live music were not serious, and more perceived 
than real.

In any case, the new 55% estimate tells us nothing about bars and 
restaurants whose main business is not live music.  DCMS has not surveyed 
live music by venue type, or actual provision of live music, since the 
British Market Research Board study of 2007.  On Monday 27 July 2009, in 
response to questions tabled by Lord Clement-Jones, the government confirmed 
that they no longer hold this information:

'... The [alcohol and entertainment] statistical collection identifies how 
many premises have permission, in the form of a premises licence or club 
premises certificate, to put on regulated entertainment, including live 
music.  However, it is not known how many different types of premises (e.g. 
student unions) have obtained an appropriate permission to cover live 
performances of music...'

[Reply from Lord Carter of Barnes to questions from Lord Clement-Jones 
HL5228, 5239 and 5230, not yet available online.]

ENDS