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date: Wed, 3 May 2006 04:33:41 -0000,    group: uk.media.radio.bbc-r5        back       
Botswana's Population Boom   
On average, the population of Botswana grew
2.6% in the years from 1991 to 2001. That is
the same as surrounding countries.

Botswana's population:

1991  1,326,796 (only 29,557 (2%) were non-citizens) (1)
2001  1.7 million  (2)


(1) www.gurn.info/topic/migrant/ledriz04.pdf

http://66.249.93.104/search?q=cache:T8P8zK9fdrQJ:www.gurn.info/topic/migrant/ledriz04.pdf+%22botswan
a+population+census&hl=en&ct=clnk&cd=1

(2) As indicated above, however, these raised mortality rates are substantially
below the rates that had been projected for the year 1997/98 - for example, see
Botswana MFDP (2000a). In addition, early estimates for the total head count from
the Botswana population census in 2001 indicate a total of almost 1.7 million. This
is close to projections obtained before HIV/AIDS was accounted for, and is at the
very high end of AIDS scenario projections produced prior to the census (most of
these were in the range 1.4-1.6 million). In the case of Botswana, it may be that the
period from infection to death is higher than was previously expected, but this
may not apply across all of the Southern African countries

http://66.249.93.104/search?q=cache:L-hCfZhbeCoJ:www-wds.worldbank.org/servlet/WDSContentServer/WDSP
/IB/2003/03/22/000094946_03031204140841/Rendered/PDF/multi0page.pdf+%22botswana+population+census&hl
=en&ct=clnk&cd=2



Swaziland Population Census

1997 965,859 (1)
2001 1,173,900 (2)

(1) http://www.ecs.co.sz/cca/cca_6.htm
(2) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swaziland

That is 21.5% in 4 years, or 4.9% per year.



BOTSWANA 2001 CENSUS SHOWS MANY FEWER ORPHANS THAN PROJECTED

Orphans
The 2001 Population Census collected fairly detailed information on the
parental status of children and the school attendance of orphans and nonorphans.
In that year, the incidence of orphans was as follows: lost both
parents 2.0 percent, maternal orphans 3.6 percent, and paternal orphans 9.6
percent. These percentages are much less than the 2001 estimated numbers
and incidence of these three groups of orphans published in the high profile
Children on the Brink publication (see Table 3)3. COB projections are
generally relied upon in most analyses of the 'orphan crisis' in Africa.
Table 3: Comparison of orphan population figures from Children on the Brink and Population Census,
2001

http://www.commissionforafrica.org/english/consultation/submissions/ro/sb-nov-dec04-265.pdf

Census = 2001 Population Census
COB = Children On The Brink

Maternal Orphans (%)
COB 10.6
Census 3.6

Paternal Orhans (%)
COB 14
Census 9.6

Double Orphans (%)
COB 9.5
Census 2.0

Census = 2001 Population Census
COB = Children On The Brink


MORE MERRIMENT TO FOLLOW:

According to the 2003 Surveillance Report, there was a 51 percent increase in
the number of people who tested HIV positive between 2000 and 2002 (from
6001 to 9081). However, the number of new AIDS cases that were reported
fell by 37 percent (from 1141 to 717) during the same period, which is
completely the opposite of what one would expect. Clearly, not all individuals
with AIDS are being picked up and reported, but the public health care system
in Botswana is well resourced with comprehensive coverage.
date: Wed, 3 May 2006 04:33:41 -0000   author:   Alex

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